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Analytics

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  • Applied Analysis
  • Python

Election analysis, resources

  • References
  • Photo attribution
  • Data attribution
  • Summary of tools

References

Associated Press. 2017. "Asian American groups file racial quotas complaint against Harvard University." The Guardian, News, Education, July 14, 2017. Accessed 9/15/2017.

Brownstein, Ronald. 2015. "The Billionaire Candidate and His Blue-Collar Following." The Atlantic, Politics & Policy, September 11, 2015. Accessed 9/29/2017.

Byler, David. 2017. "How Trump Picked the Democratic Lock and Won the Presidency." RealClearPolitics, April 12, 2017. Accessed 9/29/2017.

Carnes, Nicholas and Noam Lupu. 2017. "It's time to bust the myth: Most Trump voters were not working class." The Washington Post, Monkey Cage, June 5, 2017. Accessed 9/29/2017.

Collingwood, Loren. 2016. " The county-by-county data on Trump voters shows why he won." The Washington Post, Monkey Cage, November 19, 2016. Accessed 9/15/2017.

Enten, Harry. 2017. " Maybe Trump Didn't Remake The Political Map." FiveThirtyEight, Politics, June 29, 2017. Accessed 9/15/2017.

Frizell, Sam. 2016. "Why Hillary Clinton Is Buying Ads in Red-State Arizona." Time, Politics, September 1, 2016. Accessed 9/15/2017.

Frost, Jim. 2017. " Overfitting Regression Models: Problems, Detection, and Avoidance." Statistics By Jim, Regression, May 26, 2017. Accessed 1/2/2018.

Jackson, David. 2017. "Trump promises to build border wall in his first term." USA Today. April 26, 2017. Accessed 11/8/2017.

Kamenetz, Anya. 2015. " 5 Ideas To Ease The Burden Of Student Loans." NPR, Higher Ed, June 26, 2015. Accessed 11/9/2017.

Lim, Naomi. 2016. " Clinton to make a campaign stop in Arizona next week." CNN, Politics, October 28, 2016. Accessed 9/15/2017.

Martin, Jonathan and Alexander Burns. 2017. " Republican Shadow Campaign for 2020 Takes Shape as Trump Doubts Grow." The New York Times, Politics, August 5, 2017. Accessed 9/29/2017.

Murray, Sara and Dan Merica, 2017. " Trump backs plan that would curb legal immigration." CNN, Politics, August 2, 2017. Accessed 9/15/2017.

Nolter, Chris. 2016. "TV Political Ad Spending Will Break Records in 2016, and These Broadcasters Will Cash In." TheStreet, June 8, 2016. Accessed 11/9/2017.

Raju, Manu, Dylan Byers and Dana Bash. 2017. "Exclusive: Russian-linked Facebook ads targeted Michigan and Wisconsin." CNN, Politics, October 4, 2017. Accessed 10/4/2017.

Roarty, Alex. 2017. "Democrats see chance to win back working class whites." McClatchy DC Bureau, Congress, August 1, 2017. Accessed 9/29/2017.

Seitz-Wald, Alex. 2017. "Everyone's Running for President in 2020." NBC News, Politics, August 28, 2017. Accessed 9/29/2017.

Tankersley, Jim. 2017. " Republicans Consider Sharp Cut in 401(k) Contribution Limits." The New York Times, Politics, October 20, 2017. Accessed 2/5/2018.

Photo attribution

Polling place

Flickr by eden, Janine and Jim. CC BY 2.0

Photo, cropped.

Data attribution

2012 and 2016 US Presidential election vote totals by county

Obtained from The Guardian and townhall.com via GitHub. Accessed 4/13/2017 and 6/5/2017

2013 gun ownership rates in each US state

Kalesan, Bindu, et. al. 2015. "Gun ownership and social gun culture." injuryprevention.bmj.com, June 29, 2015. Accessed 4/10/2017

2016 Socioeconomic variables

Esri Demographics. Accessed 6/16/2017

Geographic features

ArcGIS Living Atlas of the World. Accessed 6/16/2017

Summary of tools

This case study demonstrates a number of analytical methods that can be adapted to many different application areas, allowing you to answer a variety of questions.

MethodGeneric QuestionExamples

Attribute Query

Which features have the characteristics I'm interested in?

Where is the best location for a shipping distribution center, fire station, or retirement community? Which districts have more than 50,000 people and median annual incomes larger than $50,000?

Exploratory Regression

Which combination of explanatory variables best predicts what I'm interested in?

What are the key variables that explain the variation in literacy rates across Africa? Which combination of variables best explains the increase in voter turnout between elections?

Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR)

Where is each explanatory variable a strong (or weak) predictor of what I'm interested in?

Where are the average loan grade rankings an effective predictor of average interest rates and where are they not effective? Where are teacher-to-student ratios a good predictor of test score results?

Ordinary Least Squares Regression (OLS)

Which explanatory variables are effective predictors of what I'm interested in?

Are average loan grade rankings an effective predictor of average interest rates? What are the key variables that explain high forest fire frequency?

In addition, working through the tutorial, you used data manipulation and management tools such as Add Field, Calculate Field, and Copy Features.

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