Mit der Geostatistical Analyst-Lizenz verfügbar.
Simple kriging can produce reliable probability maps if the input data is normally distributed.
- Klicken Sie auf die Schaltfläche Geostatistical Wizard 
 , die sich auf der Werkzeugleiste Geostatistical Analyst befindet. 
 - Select Kriging/CoKriging and choose a dataset and attribute field, then click Next.
 - Choose Simple kriging and set the Transformation type to Normal Score.
 - Set the Output Type to Probability and type a value in the Primary Threshold Value text box or click the Set button and set the threshold on the Classification dialog box.
 - Select either the Exceed or NOT Exceed option and click Next.
 - Click Next on the Normal Score Transformation dialog box.
 - Specify the desired parameters on the Semivariogram/Covariance Modeling dialog box and click Next.
 - Specify the desired parameters on the Searching Neighborhood dialog box and click Next.
 - Examine the results on the Cross Validation dialog box and click Finish.
 - Click OK on the Method Report dialog box.